No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.18K
- Potential profit
- $6.18K
- User PnL
- -$125
Polymarket Trader
Kaizen.Trader
0x12913f3e9e3f226e40de2220618e501e862c275f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $375.67
- Realized PnL
- -$63.73
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $21.57
- Potential payout
- $3.92K
- Potential profit
- $3.9K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$12.43
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $158.78
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.15K
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- $6.51
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $125.52
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.61
Yes position
Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $41.1
- Potential payout
- $685
- Potential profit
- $643.9
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$8.9
Yes position
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $25.38
- Potential payout
- $461.43
- Potential profit
- $436.05
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $3.32
- Potential payout
- $443.05
- Potential profit
- $439.73
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.27
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.5% 3,921.16 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4.8% 314.33 shares
- Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?Yes 0.9% 443.05 shares
- Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?Yes 5% 461.43 shares
- Will China blockade Taiwan by in 2026?Yes 7.3% 685 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 4.9% 808.54 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 5% 690.02 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 571.3 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 10% 180 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 6% 335.38 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 5.3% 379.77 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.7% 1,428.57 shares