N
No position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $444.82K
- Potential payout
- $445.05K
- Potential profit
- $222.52
- User PnL
- $222.52
Polymarket Trader
FlyingPlaty
0x1295269296e51cd28a3db85fa6728c0e352b5cfd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $478.77K
- Realized PnL
- $67.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $29.94K
- Potential payout
- $30.18K
- Potential profit
- $241.43
- User PnL
- $4.33K
Yes position
Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.29K
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $10.37
- User PnL
- $5.76
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.32K
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $0.66
- User PnL
- $0.66
N
No position
Will Switzerland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $397.01
- Potential payout
- $398.8
- Potential profit
- $1.79
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.25K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56K
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.25K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
Yes position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2K
Yes position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill on Tuesday?
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26K
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get 60 million or more views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 57 and 60 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 11?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $913.9
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $907.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mexico be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 99.6% 16.86 shares
- Spread: Canada (-3.5)Canada 98% 54.35 shares
- Will Switzerland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No 99.5% 130 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 176 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.6% 215,614.01 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 6,092.37 shares
- US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.8% 4,899.8 shares
- Will Neymar Jr be in Brazil's Starting 11?No 99% 114 shares
- Will Alexander Nübel be in Germany's Starting 11?No 97.1% 637.25 shares
- Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes 99.6% 1,653.41 shares
- Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?No 99.5% 1,650.19 shares
- Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 99.7% 12,111.68 shares