Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.1%
- Current value
- $399.42
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $773.61
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- $66.56
Polymarket Trader
etherialEphera
0x12af89448130be54befd18dd40968e687dfa98ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $458.25
- Realized PnL
- $134.33
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 23
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $46.99
- Potential payout
- $241.61
- Potential profit
- $194.62
- Multiplier
- 5.14x
- User PnL
- $2.6
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $148.98
- Potential profit
- $148.98
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $120
- Potential profit
- $115.08
- Multiplier
- 24.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $104.81
- Potential profit
- $102.97
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$3.17
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $2.11
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $49.97
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$2.89
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.76
- Potential profit
- $38.76
- User PnL
- -$5
Finland position
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.45
- Potential profit
- $22.45
- User PnL
- -$11
Anhelina Kalinina position
Roland Garros WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Diane Parry
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.08
- Potential profit
- $12.08
- User PnL
- -$11
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.49
- Potential profit
- $6.49
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.48
- Potential profit
- $6.48
- User PnL
- -$1.98
Mayweather position
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $2.97
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.03
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.77
- Potential profit
- $3.77
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.4
- Potential profit
- $2.4
- User PnL
- -$1
Laura Samson position
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Laura Samson
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.61
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Qingdao Hainiu FC win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.49
- Potential profit
- $1.49
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.47
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- User PnL
- -$1
Dusan Lajovic position
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jurij Rodionov vs Dusan Lajovic
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- User PnL
- -$1
Takuya Kumasaka position
Bengaluru 3: Takuya Kumasaka vs Taiyo Yamanaka
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.37
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will AC Milan win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3
- Potential profit
- $1.3
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.22
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.88
No position
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $3.89
Yes position
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Canada position
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.3
Yes position
Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- $1.02
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
Yes position
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
Yes position
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Cleveland Guardians position
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Robin Montgomery position
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Robin Montgomery vs Maddison Inglis
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Denis Yevseyev position
Istanbul: Paulo Dos Santos vs Denis Yevseyev
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Luisina Giovannini position
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Luisina Giovannini vs Eva Guerrero Alvarez
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
Sweden position
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: Sweden vs Slovenia
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 31.5% 3.17 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.2% 179.11 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.6% 124.22 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 1.56 shares
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?Yes 63% 7.94 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 1.3 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?Yes 71% 7.04 shares
- Will France win on 2026-06-16?Yes 67% 1.49 shares
- Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?Yes 68% 1.47 shares
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes 99.9% 13.88 shares
- Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open?Yes 72% 13.89 shares
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes 27% 15.78 shares