No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.82K
- Potential profit
- $17.82K
- User PnL
- -$10.93K
Polymarket Trader
PlasticLove
0x12b39db345626c764d9f4574cf51b8665afbfa72
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $492.72
- Realized PnL
- $3.84K
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 16
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.93K
- Potential profit
- $8.93K
- User PnL
- -$1.73K
No position
Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$160
No position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.81K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- User PnL
- -$116.19
No position
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$494.71
Yes position
Will MrBeast get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $492.72
- Potential payout
- $887.78
- Potential profit
- $395.06
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $107.15
Yes position
Karoline Leavitt out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $794.98
- Potential profit
- $794.98
- User PnL
- -$31.8
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $991.05
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $425.5
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.6
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $146.8
Yes position
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.48
No position
US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77
Yes position
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.36
Yes position
duplicate Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.18
No position
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Trump cabinet member out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.54
No position
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.65
Yes position
Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$69.12
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$147.92
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$170.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 63% 1,018.03 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?No 63% 1,001.1 shares
- Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?No 14% 1,300 shares
- Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?No 15% 100 shares
- Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?No 15.8% 265 shares
- Will Trump say "Smart" or "High IQ" during the Black History Month reception?No 10% 700 shares
- Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?No 13% 1,032.5 shares
- Will MrBeast get married by December 31?Yes 44.4% 700 shares
- Will MrBeast get married by December 31?Yes 39.6% 187.78 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 13.5% 6,999.99 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 18% 12,757.12 shares
- Government shutdown on Saturday?Yes 18.8% 6,615.31 shares