Polymarket Trader

Maxmokat

0x12bbae7bd2c8e6eabb598af12132c1605216f88a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.78K
Realized PnL: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $262.08
Potential payout: $953
Potential profit: $690.93
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$72.3

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794.53
Potential profit: $794.53
User PnL: -$305.41

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $347.24
Potential payout: $687.61
Potential profit: $340.37
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$92.83

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $405.72
Potential payout: $504
Potential profit: $98.28
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$6.73

Yes position

RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Current value: $269.15
Potential payout: $498.43
Potential profit: $229.28
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $144.54

No position

Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $348.81
Potential payout: $462
Potential profit: $113.19
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $29.82

Yes position

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $35.31
Potential payout: $321
Potential profit: $285.69
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$23.58

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $22.09
Potential payout: $304.66
Potential profit: $282.57
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$5.47

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143
Potential profit: $143
User PnL: -$4.15

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Andrew Puzder as the next United States Labor Secretary

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81.9%
Current value: $43.81
Potential payout: $53.53
Potential profit: $9.72
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Linda McMahon be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.9%
Current value: $41.43
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $8.58
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $2.12

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Drake feature Yeat on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $279.78

Yes position

Will Drake feature Future on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.99

No position

Will Drake feature Central Cee on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.78

No position

Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.14

No position

Will Trump announce Devin Nunes as the next Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.67

No position

Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $54.58

No position

Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $47.78

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.89

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.37

No position

Will Drake feature Young Thug on ICEMAN?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.64

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.21

Yes position

Will Donald Trump not announce a next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.99

Yes position

Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $24.87

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Ken Paxton as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.71

No position

Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $24.03

Yes position

Will Ken Martin cease to be DNC Chair by July 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11%
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: $16.93

No position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $16.39

No position

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 89.8%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $13.28

Yes position

Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.68

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Ron DeSantis as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.5

Yes position

Will Trump announce no pick for the next Director of National Intelligence by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Keith Sonderling as the next United States Labor Secretary

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $6.83

Yes position

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40%
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: $6.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Yes 8.3% 14.94 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Yes 7.9% 7.72 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?

Yes 9.1% 282 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 80% 143 shares
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 82.6% 361 shares
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?

No 68% 49.42 shares
Will Trump announce Kyle Diamantas as the next FDA commissioner by December 31?

No 68.3% 86.25 shares
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Yes 8% 0.93 shares
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?

Yes 56% 6.94 shares
Will Donald Trump announce Andrew Puzder as the next United States Labor Secretary

No 80.6% 15.9 shares
Will Donald Trump announce Andrew Puzder as the next United States Labor Secretary

No 84.2% 6.58 shares
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

Yes 9% 200 shares