Kurlatov

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.4
Potential profit: $102.4
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C or below on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.42
Potential profit: $100.42
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.01
Potential profit: $83.01
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.42
Potential profit: $36.42
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.85
Potential profit: $32.85
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22
Potential profit: $22
User PnL: -$1.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.86
Potential profit: $17.86
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.54
Potential profit: $17.54
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $6.16
Potential profit: $5.49
Multiplier: 9.22x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $3.34
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $3.23
Potential profit: $2.21
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $2.95
Potential profit: $1.99
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $2.94
Potential profit: $1.72
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $1.22
Potential payout: $2.33
Potential profit: $1.1
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $0.21

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on July 8?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 14?

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 14?