Polymarket Trader

lupo.tirol

0x12fc7739aaac37b6312d7f976e4bae84e8550e54

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $42.44
Realized PnL: $6.19
Win rate: 33.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $2.25K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $39.31
Potential payout: $1.29K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$51.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $478.07
Potential profit: $478.07
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $296.13
Potential profit: $296.13
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148.04
Potential profit: $148.04
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $3.13
Potential payout: $115.75
Potential profit: $112.62
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: -$6.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.79
Potential profit: $114.79
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.23
Potential profit: $89.23
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $87.83
Potential profit: $87.83
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.15
Potential profit: $66.15
User PnL: -$2.42

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.94
Potential profit: $52.94
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $39.22
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.18
Potential profit: $28.18
User PnL: -$1.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $15
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.21

Up position

Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.09

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8% 115.75 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 5.2% 480.77 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 8.7% 172.41 shares
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Up 17% 5.88 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.3% 87.83 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 500 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 0.2% 1,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 478.07 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 1% 296.13 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 250 shares