Polymarket Trader

0x1308...45c6

0x130843ebf665d4ea5fc0058089b3347977ef45c6

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $433.47
Realized PnL: $3.5K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $217.86
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $6.93K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $17.86

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$160.97

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$133.65

No position

Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $957
Potential profit: $957
User PnL: -$191.4

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $800.26
Potential profit: $800.26
User PnL: -$192.06

No position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600.87
Potential profit: $600.87
User PnL: -$96.14

No position

Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $599.41
Potential profit: $599.41
User PnL: -$119.88

No position

Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $511.35
Potential profit: $511.35
User PnL: -$102.27

No position

Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $315.52
Potential profit: $315.52
User PnL: -$189.31

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306
Potential profit: $306
User PnL: -$189.72

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $215.61
Potential payout: $283.7
Potential profit: $68.09
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $17.02

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205.93
Potential profit: $205.93
User PnL: -$144.15

No position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.62
Potential profit: $195.62
User PnL: -$50.86

No position

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195.14
Potential profit: $195.14
User PnL: -$132.7

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $189.84
Potential profit: $189.84
User PnL: -$11.39

No position

Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.61
Potential profit: $51.61
User PnL: -$24.72

Yes position

Will Iran strike Dimona by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.41
Potential profit: $18.41
User PnL: -$6.01

No position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.59
Potential profit: $3.59
User PnL: -$1.33

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $912.95

No position

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $363.51

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $265.12

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.41

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $209.42

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $200.68

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $198.48

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.83

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $93.39

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88

No position

Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.37

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.43

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.37

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.3

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.83

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.64

No position

Epstein suicide note released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.98

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.91

No position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.34

No position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.81

No position

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.36

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.3

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.52

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 43% 465.12 shares
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

No 42% 13.34 shares
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 60% 71 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.8% 7,142.86 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 123.46 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 222.22 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 81% 12.35 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?

No 87.9% 391.21 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 52% 20.61 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 53% 45 shares
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

No 53% 5 shares