Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $1.35K
- Potential payout
- $11.05K
- Potential profit
- $9.69K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$732.95
Polymarket Trader
940
0x130f2ee045e4c60623c2dda33becc303b2376e99
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.06K
- Realized PnL
- $7.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $585
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.42K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$215.08
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.91K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $8.61K
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $985
Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $274.9
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.72K
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- $104.96
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.6%
- Current value
- $253.13
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $978.66
- Multiplier
- 4.87x
- User PnL
- -$79.45
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $8.81
- Potential payout
- $8.9
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
KT Rolster position
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $937
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 2AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6PM ET
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $549.25
No position
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $472.68
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $462.1
Top Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner
Ends Oct 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $399
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7PM ET
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $387.48
Hanwha Life Esports position
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winner
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.5
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $295.24
Yes position
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.14
No position
Will Trump say "Coal" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.84
No position
Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 12AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.3
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.76
OKSavingsBank position
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. Dplus KIA
Ends Sep 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $161.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12AM ET
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $147.72
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.39
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.33
Gen.G position
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. Anyone's Legend
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.52
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2AM ET
Ends Aug 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.63
No position
Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.74
T1 position
MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gaming
Ends Jul 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93% 8.9 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes 99.6% 4.02 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 333.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No 75% 133.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 95.2% 52.51 shares
- Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?No 84% 59.52 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 60% 333.33 shares
- LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerGen.G 90% 20 shares
- Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 300k and 350k?No 92.1% 32.57 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?Yes 79.6% 25.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 15?Yes 98.1% 20.39 shares