Polymarket Trader

0x1315d110B367236a0E8B16674025B224DaDff2e5-1776826067203

0x1315d110b367236a0e8b16674025b224dadff2e5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $211.24
Realized PnL: $604.87
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $85.87
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $2.09K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$14.13

No position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270.95
Potential profit: $270.95
User PnL: -$100

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $114.94
User PnL: -$100

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.89
Potential profit: $114.89
User PnL: -$108

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $92.13
Potential payout: $112.36
Potential profit: $20.22
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: -$7.87

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.95
Potential profit: $111.95
User PnL: -$100

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.82
Potential profit: $104.82
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump or Melania say "Darling" at the Military Mothers event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $78.59
Potential profit: $78.59
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $33.24
Potential payout: $59.88
Potential profit: $26.65
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$7.06

Yes position

Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.95
Potential profit: $54.95
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $49
User PnL: -$3.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Trump or Melania say "Space force" at the Military Mothers event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $36.51
Potential profit: $36.51
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Trump say "Wall Street" this week?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.76
Potential profit: $35.76
User PnL: -$27.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.4
Potential profit: $14.4
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98

No position

Will Trump or Melania say "Movie Star" at the Military Mothers event?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.56

Yes position

Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.63

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.25

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.83

No position

Will "Obsession" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.4

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.01

No position

Will France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.49

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.41

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
User PnL: $21.79

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.27

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.07

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.46

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.43

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.6

Yes position

Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.07

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.64

No position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.6

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.98

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 22% 22.73 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET

Up 67.3% 37.16 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 99% 47.26 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Down 52.9% 47.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Up 99% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Up 50% 200 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET

Down 15% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 99% 137.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 91% 109.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Up 89% 28.09 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.6% 2,173.91 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 97.2% 45.97 shares