No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $145.52
- Potential payout
- $172.32
- Potential profit
- $26.8
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$10.25
Polymarket Trader
majorbirthday
0x1330da3cb4f95e880585e452ce5237ea024929fa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $371.2
- Realized PnL
- $107.21
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $145.65
- Potential payout
- $164.95
- Potential profit
- $19.3
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$19.13
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $80.03
- Potential payout
- $81.66
- Potential profit
- $1.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.13
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.17
No position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.58
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.59
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
No position
Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.94
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on July 27 at 5PM ET?
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
Down position
XRP Up or Down on July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 99.9% 164.95 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 94.9% 164.32 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 172.32 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.5% 81.66 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 99.4% 77.71 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.7% 386.23 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 99.5% 187.32 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18?No 99.9% 186.59 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No 98.8% 185.84 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No 99.7% 366.85 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?No 99.8% 106.71 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?No 96.7% 110.15 shares