Polymarket Trader

trader-

0x133d9679c24b6190290a8d6c5c5486401845cb66

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.66
Realized PnL: $245.49
Win rate: 87.5%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Scotland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.08
Potential profit: $141.08
User PnL: -$108.28

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Labour" 8+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.16
Potential profit: $114.16
User PnL: -$21.1

Yes position

Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.18
Potential profit: $30.18
User PnL: -$5.13

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Putin" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.46
Potential profit: $28.46
User PnL: -$20.5

Yes position

Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.04
Potential profit: $21.04
User PnL: -$5.64

Yes position

Will Trump say "Messi" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $20.6
Potential profit: $18.65
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.79

Yes position

Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.19
Potential profit: $15.19
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will Powell say "Median" during January press conference?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.48
Potential profit: $11.48
User PnL: -$5.28

Yes position

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $0.7
Potential payout: $6.99
Potential profit: $6.29
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$4.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Snowflake say "Open Source" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.78

No position

Will Snowflake say "Azure" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.54

Yes position

Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.52

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "United Kingdom" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Yes position

Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.01

Yes position

Will "Hedge" or "Hedging" be said during the Robinhood stream?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

Yes position

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

No position

Will MrBeast say "Polymarket" or "Betting" at the NYT DealBook Summit?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will MrBeast say "Youtube" or "Youtuber" 10+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will Sam Altman say "OpenAI" 4+ times on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" on The Late Show on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.16

Yes position

Will Taylor Swift say "Eras" or "Tour" 10+ times on The Late Show on December 10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Yes position

Will Snowflake say "AWS" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

Yes position

Will Keir Starmer say "Russia" or Russian" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Yes position

Will Snowflake say "Partnership" during earnings call?

Ends Nov 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the Robinhood stream?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Trump say "Thank" or "Please" 20+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will "AI" be said during the Robinhood stream?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will Trump say "Bible" or "Pastor" during Hanukkah reception on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will MrBeast say "Feastable" or "Chocolate" 8+ times at the NYT DealBook Summit?

Ends Dec 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$0.09

No position

Will Trump say "Thank" or "Please" 20+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Sam Altman say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on The Tonight Show on December 8?

Ends Dec 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.56

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?

Yes 68% 6.99 shares
Will Trump say "Messi" this week?

Yes 23.1% 20.6 shares
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Yes 52% 5.09 shares
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Yes 52% 5.09 shares
Will Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Yes 53% 5 shares
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 88.4% 55.31 shares
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 80.5% 34.65 shares
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 74.2% 32.26 shares
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 93% 75.59 shares
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 93% 32.34 shares
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 83.1% 8.09 shares
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Yes 84.9% 110.17 shares