Yes position
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $8K
- User PnL
- -$50
Polymarket Trader
H-273
0x1340d8b4ccc21db503bfca92698888baab1fb077
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $29.84
- Realized PnL
- $360
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $699.99
- User PnL
- -$42.71
No position
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$4
No position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score below 1480?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $343.57
- Potential profit
- $343.57
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $335
- Potential profit
- $335
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334
- Potential profit
- $334
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $329.01
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.99
Yes position
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $0.7
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $199.3
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.9
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $149.03
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $105
- User PnL
- -$1.35
No position
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $92.5
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.25
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.75
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $3.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.55
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.97
- Potential profit
- $99.97
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $4.13
- Potential payout
- $63.5
- Potential profit
- $59.38
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump attend his son's wedding?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.3
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $21.06
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $102.73
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.9
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $28.8
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.91
No position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 3?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Rivian Automotive (RIVN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $3.72
Yes position
Critical Discord Incident by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.03
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2
Over position
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.5% 4,000 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 12% 8.75 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?No 35% 3.84 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?No 26% 3.85 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes 33% 30.3 shares
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over 99.9% 2.94 shares
- Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over 34% 2.94 shares
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 0.6% 26.2 shares
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in June?Yes 9% 2.18 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 3% 7.69 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?Yes 13% 7.69 shares