Polymarket Trader

Havok-Nosig

0x1342bee6387f6e70772012865cdde3e9803bc430

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.39
Realized PnL: $350.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $877.5
Potential profit: $877.5
User PnL: -$176.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $2.03
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $147.98
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$2.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.15
Potential profit: $146.15
User PnL: -$4.24

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.06
Potential profit: $116.06
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116
Potential profit: $116
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.86

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.99
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.14
Potential profit: $98.14
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $69.99
Potential profit: $69.99
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $65
Potential profit: $65
User PnL: -$9.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 69°F or below on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.42
Potential profit: $59.42
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$6.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53
Potential profit: $53
User PnL: -$9.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 8.4%
Current value: $3.36
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $36.64
Multiplier: 11.90x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38
Potential profit: $38
User PnL: -$5.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.96
Potential profit: $34.96
User PnL: -$4.73

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$4.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$6.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.92
Potential profit: $32.92
User PnL: -$11.43

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.13

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79

Yes position

Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9AM ET

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.8

Yes position

Will there be at least 2050 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.11

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 15?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on June 25?

Yes 26% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?

Yes 17.7% 8.57 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?

Yes 16% 7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 30°C on June 25?

Yes 17.6% 17 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on June 25?

Yes 12.8% 40 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 25?

Yes 3% 150 shares
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 25?

Yes 52% 15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on June 24?

Yes 43% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Yes 28% 20 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 24?

Yes 26% 0.25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 24?

Yes 29.1% 6 shares
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 24?

Yes 31.2% 13 shares