No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Polymarket Trader
i.am.a.turkey.
0x1347def50363349d5dcb14b4532ef6594355a287
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $343.6
- Realized PnL
- $8.42K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$848.26
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $111.54
- Potential payout
- $464.76
- Potential profit
- $353.22
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$25.64
No position
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 40 Gwei before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $232.06
- Potential payout
- $235.35
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $13.02
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - December 17, 4PM ET
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6
- Potential profit
- $1.6
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.96
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $751.22
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $645.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $624.59
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $496.32
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $359.99
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $341.59
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $340
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $199.2
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $189.69
No position
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.57
No position
Will the government shutdown last 10 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164.97
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $153.91
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.11
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.25
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.87
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.32
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.5
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $45
No position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.45
No position
Thailand x Cambodia declare war by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.02
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 7.1% 1,990.16 shares
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No 97.8% 1,991.79 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 91% 5,377.77 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes 21% 5,369.98 shares
- Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 25 Gwei before 2027?No 88.8% 125.23 shares
- Trump out as President before 2027?Yes 15% 1,799.99 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 8.7% 1,499.99 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 21% 228.54 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 72% 5,377.78 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 65% 153.95 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 63.3% 237.1 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No 62.8% 398.27 shares