Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $10.67K
- Potential payout
- $474.35K
- Potential profit
- $463.68K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $1.19K
Polymarket Trader
Bertapotamous
0x134a63b764ac7b008356e8db1857db94e6b09e42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $542.12K
- Realized PnL
- $691.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $343.99K
- Potential payout
- $344.85K
- Potential profit
- $862.12
- User PnL
- $180.27K
Thunder position
Spurs vs. Thunder
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $308.68K
- Potential profit
- $308.68K
- User PnL
- -$175.95K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $752.23
- Potential payout
- $300.89K
- Potential profit
- $300.14K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.14K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.7K
- Potential profit
- $187.7K
- User PnL
- -$17.96K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.32K
- Potential profit
- $128.32K
- User PnL
- -$10.91K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $11.87K
- Potential payout
- $83.94K
- Potential profit
- $72.07K
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $1.59K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $81.99K
- Potential payout
- $82.11K
- Potential profit
- $123.17
- User PnL
- $47.58K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.23K
- Potential profit
- $76.23K
- User PnL
- -$21.11K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $18.49K
- Potential payout
- $43.5K
- Potential profit
- $25.01K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $252.45
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $34.39K
- Potential payout
- $39.3K
- Potential profit
- $4.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $4.28K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $14.18K
- Potential payout
- $22.32K
- Potential profit
- $8.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Johnny Walker position
UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.9K
- Potential profit
- $16.9K
- User PnL
- -$6.59K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.88K
- Potential profit
- $15.88K
- User PnL
- -$9K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.23K
- Potential payout
- $14.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.12K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.14K
- Potential profit
- $12.14K
- User PnL
- -$2.79K
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $11.54K
- Potential profit
- $10.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$1.17K
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $438.2
- Potential payout
- $9.96K
- Potential profit
- $9.52K
- Multiplier
- 22.73x
- User PnL
- -$656.94
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.57K
- Potential profit
- $9.57K
- User PnL
- -$6.08K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.18K
- Potential profit
- $9.18K
- User PnL
- -$3.14K
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.7%
- Current value
- $6.09K
- Potential payout
- $7.36K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $4.35K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.18K
- Potential profit
- $7.18K
- User PnL
- -$2.02K
Yes position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $4.72K
- Potential payout
- $6.89K
- Potential profit
- $2.17K
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $2.25K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.63K
- Potential profit
- $6.63K
- User PnL
- -$950.91
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Pereira position
Ankalaev vs. Pereira
Ends Oct 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.59K
Valentova position
Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $50.01K
Oliveira position
Oliveira vs. Gamrot
Ends Oct 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.22K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.66K
Yes position
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.01K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.77K
76ers position
76ers vs. Wizards
Ends Oct 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.55K
Strickland position
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.5K
Yes position
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.84K
Buccaneers position
Buccaneers vs. Texans
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.52K
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.76K
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.44K
76ers position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Oct 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.47K
No position
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
Ends Oct 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.6K
Murphy position
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.54K
Colts position
Colts vs. Titans
Ends Sep 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.5K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.36K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.02K
No position
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.82K
Volkov position
Volkov vs. Almeida
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.79K
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.42K
Lopes position
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.02K
Page position
UFC 319: Cannonier vs. Page
Ends Aug 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 83.6% 169.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 7,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 58.2% 20,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 18,797.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 42% 2,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 2,561.8 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 3,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 40% 10,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 38% 1,657.45 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 38% 5,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No 91% 483.36 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 3.6% 4,583.47 shares