No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.1%
- Current value
- $22.09
- Potential payout
- $51.32
- Potential profit
- $29.23
- Multiplier
- 2.32x
- User PnL
- -$23.74
Polymarket Trader
Nicolas76
0x1354a433809f3c1f66aa679a4c597f51b75726e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $22.09
- Realized PnL
- -$13.63
- Win rate
- 87.5%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 4?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.31
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on April 28?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.13
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 89.3% 51.32 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 93% 43.08 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 83% 43.08 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C or higher on May 4?No 88% 12.5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?No 53.6% 33.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?No 93% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?No 62.6% 23.96 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?No 76% 17.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?No 62.6% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 1?No 85% 20 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 29?No 96.2% 23.29 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?No 75% 4 shares