Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.6%
- Current value
- $21.91
- Potential payout
- $23.16
- Potential profit
- $1.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Polymarket Trader
Amaryllianna
0x138c8f2f928f05aaf42f5f13d2dcbf5bf850d30c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.91
- Realized PnL
- $9.4
- Win rate
- 90.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.42
- Potential profit
- $12.42
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Trail Blazers position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 95% 23.16 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 5?Yes 98.6% 13.18 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?Yes 94.1% 11.69 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5?Yes 16.1% 12.42 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 93.8% 26.65 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.8% 24 shares
- Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.2% 24 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?No 99.2% 24.4 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 11-17?No 98.7% 24.4 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 59.6% 33 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No 94% 33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes 77% 10 shares