Moonkeybusiness

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $10.05
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.11
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.46
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.29

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $10.16
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 10°C on June 28?

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $9.9
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.26
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 65°F or below on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $10.06
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.1
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $9.93
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.23
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $9.98
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.18
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.47
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $10.09
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.15
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on June 28?

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $9.81
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.35
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 27?

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $10.04
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 27?

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 27?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 27°C on June 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 22?