Polymarket Trader

DecisionLess

0x13bb56d959795a8b817fb9fa0a7a9c43c805c279

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $45.49
Realized PnL: $1.85K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 70 and 80 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$6.77

Yes position

Will "Jurassic World" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $117-128m?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $820.01
Potential profit: $820.01
User PnL: -$15.33

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $693.8
Potential profit: $693.8
User PnL: -$15.29

Yes position

Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $649.68
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$19.67

Yes position

Will Adriano Espaillat win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $39
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $611
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: $30.5

Nets position

Celtics vs. Nets

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 20% and 25% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1.25
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $498.73
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$7.25

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.05
Potential payout: $456.07
Potential profit: $454.02
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $430.36
Potential profit: $430.36
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on August 5 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.24
Potential profit: $396.24
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.59
Potential profit: $371.59
User PnL: -$22.3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $371.26
Potential profit: $371.26
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 90 and 100 minutes long?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch by March 5?

Ends Mar 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$38.5

Yes position

Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $344.5
Potential profit: $344.5
User PnL: -$55.09

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $325
Potential profit: $325
User PnL: -$5.57

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win between 25% and 30% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $299.85
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$27.85

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.84
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$103.35

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $289.58
Potential profit: $289.58
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $267.44
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$93.73

Yes position

Will Kast win by 5% to 10%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $266.67
Potential profit: $266.67
User PnL: -$23

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $260
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will Jorge "Tuto" Quiroga win by 0–5%?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.52

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $288.31

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $165

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.71

No position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.4

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.57

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $68.3

Yes position

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3500 on August 2 at 5PM ET?

Ends Aug 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.84

Yes position

Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.94

Yes position

Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $56.29

Yes position

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier win the NY-13 Democratic Primary by 5–10%?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 12%
Multiplier: 8.37x
User PnL: $54.03

Yes position

Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.92

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.24

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.6

Yes position

Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.72

Yes position

Will Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.6

Yes position

Will "Anaconda" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 27m?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.05

No position

Will Robinhood say "Silver" during earnings call?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.7

Yes position

Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.34

Over position

Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $34.24

Under position

Nuggets vs. Kings: O/U 240.5

Ends Dec 12, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will Trump say "Cheat" or "Cheater" or "Cheated" or "Cheating" 10+ times at the NRCC Dinner on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.54

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 1.4% 200 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?

Yes 2% 50 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Yes 55% 50 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 64% 64 shares
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

No 50% 20 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Yes 99% 23.39 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

No 50% 30 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?

Yes 68% 24 shares
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 1.2% 200 shares
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 97.6% 45 shares
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?

Yes 16% 80 shares
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?

Yes 65% 5 shares