Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $32.4K
- Potential payout
- $36.2K
- Potential profit
- $3.8K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3.75K
Polymarket Trader
Dead-Skylightt
0x13ce9e717dcd64b262c9041c32bd444be576bf33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $68.52K
- Realized PnL
- $236.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Starmer out by June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $11.1K
- Potential payout
- $12.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$554.61
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $10.92K
- Potential payout
- $11.36K
- Potential profit
- $443.17
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $640.94
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $9.59K
- Potential payout
- $9.7K
- Potential profit
- $111.57
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $272.02
Yes position
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $3.58K
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $99.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $38.54
Yes position
Starmer out by October 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $940.04
- Potential payout
- $960.2
- Potential profit
- $20.16
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $25.26
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.93K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.68K
Yes position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.04K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47K
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.6K
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.97K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
Ends Oct 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5K
No position
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.51K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.82K
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73K
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.65K
No position
Funding lapse without government shutdown?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.48K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78K
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84K
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Yes position
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.21K
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
Yes position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $987.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 90% 3,500 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 89% 250.45 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 630.07 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 914.5 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 120 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 90% 810 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 90% 1,260 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 89% 612.72 shares
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes 94.9% 0.78 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 504.93 shares
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 88% 1,617.69 shares
- Starmer out by June 26, 2026?Yes 86% 15 shares