Yes position
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $6.9
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$23.09
Polymarket Trader
0x13DB4487aB6FbB36Fe3CAeD4E251BbfB619F3E4d-1769120254185
0x13db4487ab6fbb36fe3caed4e251bbfb619f3e4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $178.5
- Realized PnL
- -$4.24
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $28.9
- Potential payout
- $731.71
- Potential profit
- $702.8
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $34.81
- Potential payout
- $566.04
- Potential profit
- $531.23
- Multiplier
- 16.26x
- User PnL
- $4.81
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.8%
- Current value
- $40.99
- Potential payout
- $348.84
- Potential profit
- $307.85
- Multiplier
- 8.51x
- User PnL
- $10.99
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.9%
- Current value
- $8.17
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $158.5
- Multiplier
- 20.41x
- User PnL
- -$21.83
Under position
Red Star FC vs. SC Bastia: O/U 1.5
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.49
- Potential profit
- $86.49
- User PnL
- -$29.41
Under position
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.57
- Potential profit
- $65.57
- User PnL
- -$29.5
No position
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $29.59
- Potential payout
- $58.59
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $29.13
- Potential payout
- $57.69
- Potential profit
- $28.56
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.14
Under position
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Yes position
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.91
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.14
No position
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
AWS service disrupted by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Under position
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
HANJIN BRION position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Maple Leafs position
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Hanwha Life Esports Challengers position
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Under position
ENPPI vs. Ceramica Cleopatra Club: O/U 1.5
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.1% 731.71 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 5.3% 566.04 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.6% 348.84 shares
- Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No 94% 33.33 shares
- Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 2.8% 1,062.27 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 18% 166.67 shares
- AWS service disrupted by April 30?No 99.6% 17.19 shares
- AWS service disrupted by April 30?No 99.8% 17.22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 83% 36.14 shares
- Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes 51.3% 75.91 shares
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5Under 51% 57.96 shares
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Under 45% 65.57 shares