Polymarket Trader

ggd15

0x13f5995048ee0990e9250879adecd18147dabfa0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $188.39
Realized PnL: $104.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $93.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$17.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $59.22
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $0.78
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$0.36

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $45.73
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $1.27
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $41.14
Potential payout: $42
Potential profit: $0.86
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $35.8
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

Yes position

Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.28

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.42

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Mar 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.56

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.01

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 12AM ET

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

GPT-5.3 released by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.65

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Arizona Wildcats position

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.91

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 99.9% 39.99 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Yes 99.9% 33 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 99.9% 20 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 97.8% 40 shares
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 98.2% 60 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6AM ET

Down 99.9% 15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Down 99.9% 69.98 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET

Down 99.8% 69.98 shares
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-04-03?

Yes 99.9% 67.76 shares
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Tennessee Volunteers 99.9% 50 shares
Kings vs. Flames

Kings 49% 85.91 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - March 23, 8AM ET

Up 93.8% 59.9 shares