Polymarket Trader

dadaxiong2025

0x1403e78e5909652ebb3afbe34353016793bf3715

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.07K
Realized PnL: $3.86K
Win rate: 69.2%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $4.25K
Potential payout: $61.09K
Potential profit: $56.85K
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$1.27K

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.36K
Potential profit: $58.36K
User PnL: -$29.09K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.54K
Potential profit: $16.54K
User PnL: -$4K

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.9K
Potential profit: $15.9K
User PnL: -$99.99

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $1.62K
Potential payout: $4.54K
Potential profit: $2.92K
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $718.15

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $68.75
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.18K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$131.25

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $39.22
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $273.28
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: -$10.78

No position

Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Current value: $100.6
Potential payout: $120.48
Potential profit: $19.88
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $0.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.81K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $361.35

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by May 15?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $319.09

DR Congo position

England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $172.5

Yes position

Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.8

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.95

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 26.1%
Multiplier: 3.83x
User PnL: $19.26

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.39

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$7.95

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$14.69

Yes position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Multiplier: 21.98x
User PnL: -$27.56

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$42.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 14,705.88 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.8% 11,764.71 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 3,314.02 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 35% 750 shares
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance

DR Congo 12% 750 shares
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Yes 5.6% 222.22 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 11% 526.31 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23% 1,304.35 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.3% 9,708.74 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 18.8% 531.91 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 10.6% 3,773.58 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 12.9% 7,751.94 shares