Polymarket Trader

LapaIVL

0x141f0f527bbbebc8743a4caa1bc29e2bfbf9188a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0.54
Realized PnL: $4.96
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 20
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $205
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK end in a draw?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $152.62
Potential profit: $152.62
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.11
Potential profit: $111.11
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $84.85
Potential profit: $84.85
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.15
Potential profit: $83.15
User PnL: -$4

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.54
Potential payout: $57
Potential profit: $56.46
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.08
Potential profit: $53.08
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.8
Potential profit: $49.8
User PnL: -$4.98

Yes position

Will Páfos FC win on 2026-01-21?

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.71
Potential profit: $48.71
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Austria?

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will FC København win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.17
Potential profit: $33.17
User PnL: -$1.96

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.32

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

Yes position

Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.23

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Qairat FK win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.93

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.45

No position

Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-29?

Ends Jan 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.55

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2027

Implied probability: 2.3%
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.57

No position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 15, 2026?

Yes 1.8% 57 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 25.5 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Yes 11.3% 8.85 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?

Yes 8.3% 12.05 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 10% 12.5 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?

No 1.5% 66.67 shares
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Austria?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?

Yes 2.2% 44.44 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Austria?

Yes 3.7% 27.3 shares
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Austria?

Yes 11% 9.09 shares
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Austria?

Yes 2.5% 40 shares