Polymarket Trader

spilt-milk-under-the-bridge

0x14361d8fc8c648c243ef3379845fa9097d593e11

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $62.3
Realized PnL: $794.42
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.85
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $29.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $30.3
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $24.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.45
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.55
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.91
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 24%
Current value: $14.4
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $45.6
Multiplier: 4.17x
User PnL: $8.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.12
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.88
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C or below on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.12
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.88
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$29.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $46.5
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $8.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $1.44
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $58.56
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: -$4.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.91
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.24
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.76
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$5.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$5.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.81
Potential profit: $46.81
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46.8
Potential profit: $46.8
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $46
Potential profit: $46
User PnL: -$4.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $42.75
Potential profit: $42.75
User PnL: -$3.89

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.88
Potential profit: $41.88
User PnL: -$3.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.66
Potential profit: $41.66
User PnL: -$3.79

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.3

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C or below on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C or below on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 3°C on January 10?

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 15?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.74

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $27.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C or below on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or below on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C or below on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or below on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C or below on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on June 21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C or below on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or below on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C or below on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.55

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Yes 46% 9.48 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?

Yes 16% 9.74 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Up 10% 3.7 shares
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Up 27% 3.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Yes 32% 3.13 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?

Yes 24% 5.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Down 56% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Down 70% 7.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Yes 31.9% 3.14 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?

Yes 31% 3.23 shares
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?

Yes 18% 3.91 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on May 20?

Yes 1.8% 50.42 shares