Polymarket Trader

randomfrog2

0x143b9af2924e427670573a0f169dcbcca0b874b5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.36
Realized PnL: $47.66
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 23
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $350
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.7
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.9
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $197.9
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $4.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.9
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $7.47
Potential payout: $166
Potential profit: $158.53
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: $0.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $139.23
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $140
Potential profit: $139.65
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.28
Potential payout: $111
Potential profit: $108.72
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $4.94
Potential payout: $76
Potential profit: $71.06
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $0.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $36
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.06
Potential payout: $19.21
Potential profit: $18.15
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.12
Potential profit: $1.12
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20.06

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.41

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 10.2% 6 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 10.5% 109 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 25% 194.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 20% 199.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.9% 86 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 24% 199.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 26% 0.91 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 4.9% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 11% 85 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 18% 65.59 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 1,000 shares