Polymarket Trader

0x14424be261487a21963EAba55AD986e24964c64f-1783087502938

0x14424be261487a21963eaba55ad986e24964c64f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.27
Realized PnL: $512.47
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 4
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $14.26
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.42
Potential profit: $10.41
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $4.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.95
Potential profit: $8.94
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.26

No position

Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.01

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.65

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49

No position

Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.47

Linda Noskova position

Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.52

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.23

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Over position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 218.5

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.23

Yi Zhou position

Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Daniel de Jonge

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.99

Under position

Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.52

Seattle Mariners position

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

Team Falcons position

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.69

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 11?

Yes 55.9% 8.95 shares
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 11?

Yes 48% 10.42 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?

Yes 87% 5.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 11?

Yes 87% 5.75 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 11?

Yes 83.8% 5.97 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 11?

Yes 84% 5.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 9?

Yes 6% 61.65 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 9?

Yes 16.6% 30.1 shares
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 9?

Yes 15.8% 31.56 shares
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Fery

Flavio Cobolli 69% 14.49 shares
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertens

Linda Noskova 56% 17.86 shares
Nottingham 3: Yi Zhou vs Daniel de Jonge

Yi Zhou 70% 14.29 shares