Polymarket Trader

eded8

0x144d53b1d7dcc26eb127d98d58510839f114a6aa

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.19
Realized PnL: $119.43
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$1.65

Yes position

Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Premium" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Demand" 5+ times during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$24.9

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Fuel" 5+ times during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.6

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Corporate" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.3

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "International" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $0.69
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.31
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "American Express" or "Amex" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$14.2

Yes position

Will Paraguay go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Delta" 15+ times during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will "Software" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $9.5
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $10.5
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $19.99
User PnL: -$13.19

No position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $19.98
User PnL: -$14.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?

Ends Jan 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.7

No position

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.6

Yes position

Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.33

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.58

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.4

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.08

No position

Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.06

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.08

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.9

No position

Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.36

No position

Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

Yes position

Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

No position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

Yes position

Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?

No 96.7% 50 shares
Will Netflix say "Content" during earnings call?

No 0.3% 30 shares
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?

Yes 1.2% 50 shares
Will Delta Air Lines say "Cargo" during earnings call?

Yes 99% 30 shares
Will Delta Air Lines say "Loyal" or "Loyalty" during earnings call?

No 0.2% 20 shares
Will Delta Air Lines say "Fleet" during earnings call?

No 1% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 10?

No 1.3% 50 shares
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?

No 4% 50 shares
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

No 96.1% 40 shares
Will Antonio Gracias be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

No 97.1% 20 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13?

No 5% 43.8 shares
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

No 93% 50 shares