No position
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $4.33K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $675
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $250
Polymarket Trader
jinjinyou
0x1454737a2a3d61495935086fd6a0fe38896cd2c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.34K
- Realized PnL
- $1.24K
- Win rate
- 65.2%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $16.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $3.3
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6K
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.27
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.02
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.4
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Xtreme Gaming position
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.37
No position
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.54
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Team Yandex position
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.77
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$459.99
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$510.74
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.11K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageXtreme Gaming 99.6% 1,254.79 shares
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageXtreme Gaming 99% 328.11 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 81% 100 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 30.5% 811.04 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 53% 2,396.24 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No 99.3% 2,396.24 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 93.8% 11.04 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No 98.9% 200 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 98.9% 554.54 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 98.8% 5.99 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 98.7% 372.81 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 98.6% 101.84 shares