No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $200K
- User PnL
- -$200
Polymarket Trader
0x145A5b44A83164004D2bA0524582870661A95E86-1766886673904
0x145a5b44a83164004d2ba0524582870661a95e86
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.88
- Realized PnL
- $19.94K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
xAI IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.32K
- Potential profit
- $8.32K
- User PnL
- -$1.16K
Under position
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.16K
- User PnL
- -$441.93
Over position
Uruguay vs. Spain: Spain O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.88K
- Potential profit
- $1.88K
- User PnL
- -$301.05
Over position
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$999.99
Over position
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $1.55K
- User PnL
- -$294.6
Over position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $1.39K
- User PnL
- -$699.98
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$168.78
Over position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$602.1
Yes position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $1.88
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$35.59
Over position
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$599.42
Over position
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$371.58
Over position
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950.85
- Potential profit
- $950.85
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Over position
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $925.92
- Potential profit
- $925.92
- User PnL
- -$500
Over position
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $923.94
- Potential profit
- $923.94
- User PnL
- -$599.99
Over position
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $906.11
- Potential profit
- $906.11
- User PnL
- -$449.99
Over position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $889.26
- Potential profit
- $889.26
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Over position
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $857.14
- Potential profit
- $857.14
- User PnL
- -$75
Over position
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $824.92
- Potential profit
- $824.92
- User PnL
- -$519.7
Over position
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $803.02
- Potential profit
- $803.02
- User PnL
- -$299.99
Over position
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $750
- Potential profit
- $750
- User PnL
- -$300
Over position
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $749.63
- Potential profit
- $749.63
- User PnL
- -$214.39
Over position
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $735.29
- Potential profit
- $735.29
- User PnL
- -$250
Over position
Tunisia vs. Netherlands: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $724.63
- Potential profit
- $724.63
- User PnL
- -$300
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.51K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $971.87
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $956.8
Under position
Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $686.27
Over position
Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $613.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $510.84
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $471.37
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $430.56
Over position
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.5
Over position
Argentina vs. Austria: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $392.85
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $390.73
Over position
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $333.33
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $320
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.55
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.67
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.76
Over position
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.84
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $191.06
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170.77
Under position
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under 90.9% 109.89 shares
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under 18% 500 shares
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Under 18% 454.54 shares
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Over 71.2% 177.33 shares
- Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5Over 50% 61.85 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over 12.6% 733.86 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Over 38% 733.86 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over 46% 66.15 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over 46% 217.39 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over 45% 11.76 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over 45% 222.22 shares
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over 65% 461.53 shares