No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $20.57
- Potential profit
- $18.52
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.68
Polymarket Trader
addl12
0x1461da5f64f3aae303d4ce6c613f6a25363fb97e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.96
- Realized PnL
- $47.45
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $0.44
- Potential payout
- $11.08
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.65
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$5.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 38°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.74
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $0.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.15
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.4%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $4.55
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.45
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 35%
- Current value
- $3.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.5
- Multiplier
- 2.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.2
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.25
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.93
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $4.4
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.4
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $9.7
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- Multiplier
- 20.83x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $16.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $7.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $6.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- $5.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- $4.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 70%
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- $3.61
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $1.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.7
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- -$1.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 66%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Polymarket update