No position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $132.64
- Potential payout
- $157.06
- Potential profit
- $24.42
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Polymarket Trader
timeoffwork
0x14897cabb08dbd141cb7f8e3459f3a9abecff1e5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $349.75
- Realized PnL
- $137.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $143.91
- Potential payout
- $154.24
- Potential profit
- $10.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
No position
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $73.2
- Potential payout
- $74.66
- Potential profit
- $1.46
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.87
Yes position
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.05
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.76
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.35
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.12
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.3
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.72
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.57
No position
Fed rate cut by July meeting?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will Iran strike Cyprus by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.76
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
Down position
Solana Up or Down on July 24?
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.21
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?Yes 99.8% 80 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 90.4% 157.06 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 92.6% 153.41 shares
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No 95.2% 74.66 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes 99.8% 349.8 shares
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?No 99.5% 169.38 shares
- Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?No 91% 175.12 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?No 99.9% 149.83 shares
- Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No 99.6% 316.72 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?No 99.6% 67.03 shares
- Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?Yes 99.4% 26 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 98.8% 184.22 shares