Polymarket Trader

PoorWithCryptos

0x14923a134824154b165def6dfc25e394460e97da

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.19K
Realized PnL: $3.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.53K
Potential profit: $5.53K
User PnL: -$1.7K

Yes position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $1.15K
User PnL: -$863.67

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $744.86
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $282.53
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: -$5.14

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $137.22
Potential payout: $784.09
Potential profit: $646.88
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$47.78

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $188.89
Potential payout: $740.74
Potential profit: $551.85
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$11.11

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $733.87
Potential profit: $733.87
User PnL: -$275

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $526.32
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $492.79
Potential profit: $492.79
User PnL: -$225

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $464.74
Potential profit: $464.74
User PnL: -$321.19

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $420.19
Potential profit: $420.19
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $357.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340.92
Potential profit: $340.92
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $6.41
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $306.09
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$3.59

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.46
Potential profit: $288.46
User PnL: -$37.5

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $288.46
Potential profit: $288.46
User PnL: -$75

No position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $111.14
Potential payout: $281.37
Potential profit: $170.23
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: -$13.15

Yes position

Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $226.05
Potential profit: $226.05
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $192.31
Potential profit: $192.31
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.1
Potential profit: $191.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.56
Potential profit: $173.56
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.28
Potential profit: $125.28
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Biden's war" during conference with Putin on August 15?

Ends Aug 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $124.19
Potential profit: $124.19
User PnL: -$77

Yes position

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.55
Potential profit: $122.55
User PnL: -$20

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $500.5

Yes position

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $467.03

Yes position

Biden drops out of presidential race?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225

Yes position

Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.85

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.36

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.06

Yes position

Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.56

Yes position

Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.48

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.77

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.71

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.66

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.64

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.66

No position

Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.62

Yes position

New Pope in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.96

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $76.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Elizabeth Warren" during his Bitcoin Conference speech?

Ends Jul 27, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.89

No position

GPT-5 released in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.72

Yes position

Trump and Harris shake hands at first debate?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.59

No position

Iran military response by Friday?

Ends Aug 2, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.5

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.22

No position

Will DOGE audit the Federal Reserve before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.52

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" at his press conference?

Ends Aug 15, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.48

Yes position

Germany confidence vote in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 45% 165.09 shares
Fed rate hike in 2026?

No 43% 116.28 shares
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 73% 1,027.4 shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 24% 625 shares
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Yes 22% 159.09 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Yes 79% 54.37 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?

Yes 55.2% 54.38 shares
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 3.2% 312.5 shares
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Yes 27% 740.74 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 99.9% 246.91 shares
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev 81% 246.91 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 11.2% 89.29 shares