Polymarket Trader

zsad47

0x14950360c09c06d055c05dd05ec44d20155bf72c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.98
Realized PnL: $29.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.47
Potential profit: $5.47
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.73
Potential payout: $4.73
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.61

No position

Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $2.06
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93
Potential profit: $1.93
User PnL: -$1.87

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $1.7
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.65
Potential payout: $1.65
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.6
Potential payout: $1.6
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.51
Potential payout: $1.51
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.38
Potential payout: $1.38
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.35
Potential payout: $1.35
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $24.32

Yes position

Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.98

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

Will OpenAi have the top AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.34

No position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Fed rate hike in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?

Ends Jun 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?

Ends Feb 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

No 99.9% 1.7 shares
Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

No 99.9% 1.6 shares
Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

No 99.8% 1.65 shares
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?

Yes 99.6% 1.51 shares
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?

No 98% 1.38 shares
Xi Jinping out in 2025?

No 96.2% 1.35 shares
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?

No 96.9% 2.06 shares
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Yes 96.9% 1.93 shares
Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

Yes 99.3% 1.68 shares
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?

No 99.7% 1.88 shares
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?

No 99.7% 2.11 shares
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?

Yes 98.5% 2.84 shares