Polymarket Trader

lopoticha

0x14a3ce7738c7faa857126822b4ef4cf81195c186

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.89K
Realized PnL: $890.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $609.89
Potential payout: $659.34
Potential profit: $49.45
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $9.89

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $391.3
Potential payout: $579.71
Potential profit: $188.41
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: -$8.7

Anthropic position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $556.46
Potential payout: $561.8
Potential profit: $5.34
User PnL: $56.46

Yes position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $500
Potential payout: $526.32
Potential profit: $26.32
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $402.2
Potential payout: $439.56
Potential profit: $37.36
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $410.75
Potential payout: $430.11
Potential profit: $19.35
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118
Potential profit: $118
User PnL: -$3.54

Yes position

Will Denmark vs. Ukraine end in a draw?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68
Potential profit: $68
User PnL: -$12.78

Yes position

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.57
Potential profit: $11.57
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.36
Potential profit: $11.36
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.03
Potential profit: $11.03
User PnL: -$3.2

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.35
Potential profit: $10.35
User PnL: -$5.9

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 2?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.32
Potential profit: $10.32
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.23
Potential profit: $10.23
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $6.28
Potential payout: $10.21
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $3.93
Potential payout: $10.2
Potential profit: $6.28
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.16
Potential profit: $10.16
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.14
Potential profit: $10.14
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.9%
Current value: $7.84
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $2.23
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $10.06
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.02

No position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-03?

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $188.24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.73

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Ousmane Dembele: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.82

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.92

Yes position

Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.54

Yes position

Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.6

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Yes position

Will fewer than 5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.86

Yes position

Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.49

Yes position

Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 Senegal?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.34

Yes position

Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.7

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Yes position

Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Yes position

Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3

Yes position

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.01

Yes position

Will Sweden vs. Greece end in a draw?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?

Yes 28% 10 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 17% 10 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 54% 10 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 31% 4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

Yes 26% 4 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 32% 10.3 shares
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?

Yes 33% 10.3 shares
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 10% 10 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 84% 10 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 86% 10 shares
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 44% 10.23 shares