Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $24.34K
- Potential payout
- $102.04K
- Potential profit
- $77.7K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- -$26.68K
Polymarket Trader
borntoolate.eth
0x14c32680ffc318892e0d019181e4161aa34cdf68
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $102.66K
- Realized PnL
- $112.34K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 76.2%
- Current value
- $77.7K
- Potential payout
- $102.04K
- Potential profit
- $24.34K
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $26.68K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.8K
- Potential profit
- $15.8K
- User PnL
- -$3.05K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $1.67K
- User PnL
- -$601.61
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $623.04
- Potential payout
- $836.3
- Potential profit
- $213.26
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $18.53
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25K
Yes position
Will the EU impose new tariffs on US goods in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.19K
No position
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.93K
Ilia Topuria position
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.41K
Yes position
Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6K
Up position
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88K
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.62K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
Finney position
UFC 325: Finney vs. Malkoun (Middleweight, Prelims)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Frye Jr. position
UFC Fight Night: Pat vs. Frye Jr. (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
Tafa position
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.77K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.73K
Yes position
OpenAI browser by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Buchecha position
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Buchecha (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $2.55K
Yes position
Will Anora be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4K
Almabayev position
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Almabayev (Flyweight, Main Card)
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
Chiefs position
Colts vs. Chiefs
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
Elekana position
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04K
No position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98K
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
No position
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jan 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 101,931 shares
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver 98.5% 210.47 shares
- Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?Yes 80.8% 354.77 shares
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder 99% 5.77 shares
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes 98.9% 120 shares
- Will the fight be won by submission?No 98.6% 16.05 shares
- Will Michael Chandler win by KO or TKO?No 98.6% 16.85 shares
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder 99% 253.64 shares
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder 97.9% 89.65 shares
- O/U 1.5 RoundsOver 91.9% 79.42 shares
- O/U 0.5 RoundsOver 99% 10 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?Yes 72.8% 1,499.4 shares