Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.26
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $30.74
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
Polymarket Trader
0x14d1...74df
0x14d1191d546bf514b3c8fc94f83d56579ebb74df
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $69.42
- Realized PnL
- -$1.9
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.4%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $29
- Potential profit
- $19.04
- Multiplier
- 2.91x
- User PnL
- $0.62
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.7%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $21
- Potential profit
- $20.23
- Multiplier
- 27.40x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $16.29
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.39
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.3%
- Current value
- $3.29
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- Multiplier
- 3.95x
- User PnL
- -$3.54
No position
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $11.48
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.91
- Multiplier
- 9.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $9.15
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.85
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.7%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $5.9
- Multiplier
- 6.37x
- User PnL
- $0.45
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $6.27
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $5.88
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.2%
- Current value
- $1.46
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.54
- Multiplier
- 3.42x
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.42
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $14.63
No position
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Multiplier
- 21.74x
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$1.04
Yes position
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$16.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?Yes 9% 12 shares
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No 93.2% 8 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 5 shares
- Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 90% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 96% 7 shares
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?No 78% 5 shares
- Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?No 94.6% 5 shares
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Yes 12.6% 10 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 52.5% 13 shares
- Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes 28.7% 5 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?No 96.2% 6 shares