Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $3.03K
- Potential payout
- $11.88K
- Potential profit
- $8.85K
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $28.34
Polymarket Trader
Chayzon
0x14d70a08aaba3cb696a6e1431e50bbedc7f7db87
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.98K
- Realized PnL
- $10.78K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.17K
- Potential payout
- $6.32K
- Potential profit
- $5.15K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $166.05
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $1.94K
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $699.62
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$59.53
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $74.32
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $277.03
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $467.2
- Potential payout
- $805.52
- Potential profit
- $338.32
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$32.8
Yes position
SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $540.92
- Potential profit
- $540.92
- User PnL
- -$300
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $105.56
- Potential payout
- $138.89
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $5.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $935.95
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $902.62
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 11 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.55
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $818.19
Yes position
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $583.15
Yes position
Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $561.06
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.6
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $458.27
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $394.08
No position
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $380.75
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.93
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348.65
Yes position
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $293.18
No position
Will there be 16–18 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.7
No position
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $277.43
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 52 million views on day 3?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $251.01
No position
Will Pacto Histórico win 18-20 seats in the Colombian Senate in the 2026 Colombian parliamentary election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.3
Yes position
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.37
Yes position
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $198.73
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $188.44
Yes position
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.89
Yes position
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.66
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes 73.9% 1,353.67 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes 75% 932.89 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 72% 138.89 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes 84.9% 353.53 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?Yes 62.1% 805.52 shares
- SpaceX IPO: Trading Halted for Volatility?Yes 55.5% 540.92 shares
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?No 75.5% 397.43 shares
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes 25.3% 11,875.79 shares
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?No 74% 1,351.35 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 55.6% 719.59 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 54.9% 546.11 shares
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes 47.1% 636.77 shares