Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $99.73
Polymarket Trader
DQWDQWDAWD
0x14e48c976e48b79bf1c33f410d7487595bff3637
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $439.03
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.65
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.08
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.15
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $14.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $99.73
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.65
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.08
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.15
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.1%
- Multiplier
- 9.90x
- User PnL
- $14.47
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $14.12
Yes position
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.75
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.28
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will gas hit (High) $4.50 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
ECB rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% or more in February?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 51% 118 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Yes 41.7% 103.71 shares
- Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?Yes 49.1% 103.72 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 36.1% 90 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes 79% 28.96 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No 24.3% 100.73 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 31.3% 90 shares
- ECB rate hike in 2026?Yes 62.1% 25.96 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 26.2% 13 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 64% 35.55 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 26.4% 187.05 shares
- Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?Yes 5% 40.81 shares