Yes position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $67.4
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$32.6
Polymarket Trader
alpha-vore
0x14f88f16bf4cad09182d55e199195626405343a1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.65
- Realized PnL
- -$18.36
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 1
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Megaquake by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $472.22
- Potential profit
- $472.22
- User PnL
- -$21.64
Yes position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $19.26
- Potential payout
- $453.09
- Potential profit
- $433.83
- Multiplier
- 23.53x
- User PnL
- -$30.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?Yes 0.9% 182.22 shares
- Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?Yes 0.4% 400 shares
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 11% 453.09 shares
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes 4.3% 2,324.09 shares
- Megaquake by December 31?Yes 8.3% 1,203.9 shares
- Will Karen Bass win the 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election?No 44.7% 22.36 shares
- Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?Yes 6.9% 290 shares
- Will JD Vance announce Presidential run in 2025?Yes 5% 400 shares