Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $24.45
- Potential payout
- $48.42
- Potential profit
- $23.97
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- $8.47
Polymarket Trader
0x1516...3f5a
0x1516df6aecb4b039448590fdb9dcfd85c4183f5a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $218.4
- Realized PnL
- $318.76
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.5%
- Current value
- $22.69
- Potential payout
- $44.06
- Potential profit
- $21.37
- Multiplier
- 1.94x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $33.86
- Potential profit
- $26.41
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $9.12
- Potential payout
- $30.91
- Potential profit
- $21.79
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Yes position
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $4.37
- Potential payout
- $28.17
- Potential profit
- $23.8
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $1.55
Y
Yes position
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $6.79
- Potential payout
- $27.7
- Potential profit
- $20.91
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $24.86
- Potential profit
- $23.74
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $8.23
- Potential payout
- $24.55
- Potential profit
- $16.33
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $5.4
- Potential payout
- $24.53
- Potential profit
- $19.13
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $15.27
- Potential payout
- $24.23
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $10.15
- Potential payout
- $19.34
- Potential profit
- $9.19
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $1.68
Yes position
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $8.48
- Potential payout
- $19.06
- Potential profit
- $10.58
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $9.25
- Potential payout
- $17.78
- Potential profit
- $8.54
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will Russia enter Moskovka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $15.51
- Potential profit
- $12.95
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $6.59
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $11.59
- Potential payout
- $14.95
- Potential profit
- $3.36
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $1.59
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $3.2
- Potential payout
- $14.91
- Potential profit
- $11.71
- Multiplier
- 4.66x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15%
- Current value
- $2.24
- Potential payout
- $14.9
- Potential profit
- $12.67
- Multiplier
- 6.67x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $2.45
- Potential payout
- $14.83
- Potential profit
- $12.39
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $11.6
- Potential payout
- $13.26
- Potential profit
- $1.66
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.42
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $11.09
- Potential payout
- $12.53
- Potential profit
- $1.44
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $1.09
No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $11.19
- Potential payout
- $12.43
- Potential profit
- $1.24
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.95
- Potential payout
- $12.1
- Potential profit
- $1.15
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.95
No position
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $10.23
- Potential payout
- $11.3
- Potential profit
- $1.07
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.05
Down position
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.89
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.54
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 16% 5 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes 33% 24.21 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?Yes 33% 24.21 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 41% 17.8 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No 50% 5.93 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 44% 5.52 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes 14% 9.64 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 17% 9.92 shares
- Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes 49% 4.96 shares
- Will Russia enter Shevchenko by September 30?No 15% 14.8 shares
- Will Russia enter Svitle by September 30?Yes 37% 7.27 shares
- Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?Yes 11% 6.84 shares