Polymarket Trader

provingit

0x15186a12e083c04d8eb1e430e530bd1a89b42652

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.09K
Realized PnL: $3.32K
Win rate: 30.8%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64K
Potential profit: $10.64K
User PnL: -$5K

Yes position

Negative GDP growth in Q3 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.14K
Potential profit: $7.14K
User PnL: -$553.09

Over position

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.5K
User PnL: -$2.13K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $1.33K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $670
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $50

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$304.99

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$72

No position

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $755
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $245
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$15

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $999.99
User PnL: -$20

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $469.41
Potential profit: $469.41
User PnL: -$339.17

Yes position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.11
Potential profit: $104.11
User PnL: -$16.66

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Crawford position

Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.78K

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.31K

Chimaev position

UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $818.33

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.64

Bo Nickal position

UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Ciryl Gane position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$10

Edwards position

UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.29K

Auger-Aliassime position

ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.35K

Gamrot position

Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.04K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

No 77% 1,000 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 64% 2,000 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 69% 4,000 shares
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

No 80% 4,000 shares
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

No 80% 4,000 shares
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?

No 80% 4,000 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)

Bo Nickal 76% 500 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 50% 2,500 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 50% 2,500 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 6% 800 shares
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Yes 47% 10,639.99 shares
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Auger-Aliassime 18% 490 shares