Polymarket Trader

0x151a4b7F606D8489CF09612544c0648a538D0EcE-1771808906782

0x151a4b7f606d8489cf09612544c0648a538d0ece

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $15.35K
Realized PnL: $755.35
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $2K
Potential payout: $2.07K
Potential profit: $66.15
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$14.77

No position

Will JPMorgan Chase fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $2.89
User PnL: $15.8

No position

Brex IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $1.54K
Potential payout: $1.56K
Potential profit: $21.85
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $37.22

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $381.74
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $792.83
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$471.84

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $864.44
Potential payout: $866.61
Potential profit: $2.17
User PnL: $21.31

No position

Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $727.68
Potential payout: $728.04
Potential profit: $0.36
User PnL: $10.02

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77%
Current value: $527.5
Potential payout: $685.06
Potential profit: $157.56
Multiplier: 1.30x
User PnL: -$61.11

No position

Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $669.66
Potential payout: $671
Potential profit: $1.34
User PnL: $10.68

No position

Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $631.02
Potential payout: $632.91
Potential profit: $1.9
User PnL: $27.27

No position

Will Citigroup fail by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $627.07
Potential payout: $627.39
Potential profit: $0.31
User PnL: $4.35

No position

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.7%
Current value: $539.44
Potential payout: $563.97
Potential profit: $24.53
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $13.16

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $488.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $11.25
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Labour leadership election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $473.97
Potential payout: $477.07
Potential profit: $3.1
User PnL: $2.28

No position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $431.86
Potential payout: $432.51
Potential profit: $0.65
User PnL: $1.45

Yes position

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $418.26
Potential payout: $418.68
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $0.84

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $399
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $1
User PnL: $5

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $393.91
Potential payout: $394.11
Potential profit: $0.2
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $385.97
Potential payout: $390.46
Potential profit: $4.49
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $21.81

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $384.02
Potential payout: $384.98
Potential profit: $0.96
User PnL: $24.51

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $378.67
Potential payout: $380
Potential profit: $1.33
User PnL: $8.93

No position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $324.9
Potential payout: $326.37
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: $11.13

No position

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $284.2
Potential payout: $306.09
Potential profit: $21.89
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.03

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $259.5
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $40.5
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.5

No position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $297.15
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $2.85
User PnL: $21.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.08

Yes position

Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.03

No position

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.92

Yes position

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.59

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.92

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.7

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.47

No position

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.68

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.84

Yes position

Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $33.68

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.98

Yes position

Will Sophie Baek get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.92

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.63

Yes position

Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

Yes position

SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.95

Yes position

Hungary Election: TISZA wins a constitutional majority?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.03

Yes position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.95

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.8

Up position

Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?

Ends Mar 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.57

Yes position

Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.16

Yes position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.46

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 94.9% 50 shares
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun

Chicago Sky 59% 50 shares
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun

Chicago Sky 61% 50 shares
Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm

Seattle Storm 21% 10 shares
Chicago Sky vs. Connecticut Sun

Chicago Sky 61% 10 shares
Panama vs. England: O/U 2.5

Over 61% 10 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-27?

No 21% 10 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

No 41% 10 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

No 53% 10 shares
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?

No 54% 10 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

No 20% 10 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

No 64% 10 shares