No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.65K
- Potential profit
- $565.75
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $931.17
Polymarket Trader
sshjunkie2
0x151c4b161c8b26acbf904957bfce4837b00d87b2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.74K
- Realized PnL
- $2.2K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $637.5
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $862.5
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$352.5
Yes position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $860
- Potential profit
- $860
- User PnL
- -$53.23
Yes position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$163.4
Yes position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $555
- Potential profit
- $555
- User PnL
- -$405.15
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $283.01
- Potential profit
- $283.01
- User PnL
- -$67.38
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$84
No position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$13.58
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $180
- Potential profit
- $180
- User PnL
- -$97.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 74°F or higher on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $160
- Potential profit
- $160
- User PnL
- -$39.38
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $95
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$28
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $17.6
- Potential payout
- $69
- Potential profit
- $51.41
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.34
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$17.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $839.85
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $445.5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $273.12
No position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $162.41
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.8
No position
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $107.5
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.8
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.98
No position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.6
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- $12.78
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.16
No position
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
Yes position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Kash Patel out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.9
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 55°F or below on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.41
Yes position
Will Sanseitō loose any seats in Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$4.03
Yes position
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
No position
Will Reiwa Shinsengumi loose any seats in Japanese snap election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.4
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- -$13.28
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party for the People win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.38
Yes position
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16.15
No position
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 71% 950 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 67% 700 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 67% 700 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 1?Yes 68% 99.99 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?Yes 31% 120 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 100 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on June 1?Yes 13% 10 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 1?Yes 31% 100 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 1?Yes 66% 147 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 27?Yes 42% 200 shares
- WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 27?Yes 54% 180 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 60% 700 shares