Polymarket Trader

0x151FcE815e93544D6D1D1aeACCf87f92FA9163b8-1778946759764

0x151fce815e93544d6d1d1aeaccf87f92fa9163b8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.93
Realized PnL: $49.23
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $188.64
Potential profit: $188.64
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.84
Potential profit: $114.84
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.17
Potential profit: $45.17
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34
Potential profit: $34
User PnL: -$4.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.15
Potential profit: $30.15
User PnL: -$9.65

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $13.93
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $9.88
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $3.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.89
Potential profit: $16.89
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.13
Potential profit: $16.13
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.84
Potential profit: $7.84
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 85.4%
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $17.05

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.67

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.97

Yes position

Will "Backrooms" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will "Backrooms" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 10m?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.51

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.05

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Multiplier: 18.35x
User PnL: -$5.68

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.08

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 72.1% 51.38 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?

Yes 42% 23.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8.7% 114.84 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 0.8% 56.81 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 8% 53.97 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 39% 12.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 38.9% 38.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Yes 15% 13.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 13.4% 55.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 4.4% 56.82 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 18.5% 53.98 shares