Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $123.46
- Potential profit
- $120.32
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$6.86
Polymarket Trader
Fed3
0x1525d4d957e10e62d38102b50e9c44771e3b8c4d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.79
- Realized PnL
- $10.11
- Win rate
- 42.9%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 22.8%
- Current value
- $8.14
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $27.57
- Multiplier
- 4.39x
- User PnL
- $3.14
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $7.19
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 1.73x
- User PnL
- $3.17
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.6%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $6.71
- Potential profit
- $3.92
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $1.79
Yes position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.81
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $1.17
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $0.17
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.37
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Solana reach $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 14.9% 6.71 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 7.19 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?10% 10 shares
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes 32% 3.13 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 50% 2 shares
- Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-24?Yes 9.9% 10.1 shares
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes 18% 5.56 shares
- Will Solana reach $100 in May?Yes 31% 3.23 shares
- Will Trump and Xi not shake hands during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 1.5% 67.33 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 17% 5.88 shares
- Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 21% 4.76 shares
- Will Trump and Xi only be photographed together during the day of their next meeting in 2026?Yes 1.4% 71.93 shares