Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $21.06
- Potential payout
- $78
- Potential profit
- $56.94
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.58
Polymarket Trader
CTV1603
0x152c2184b7a9b12318cea6585f5e914d3710eaad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $21.06
- Realized PnL
- $9.14
- Win rate
- 45.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Drake position
Drake vs. Evansville
Ends Mar 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.18
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.6
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 19?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $108K on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will valid votes be between 36 million and 38 million in South Korean election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Cฤlin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0
UMBC position
Albany vs. UMBC
Ends Mar 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Conservatives win majority in Ontario election?
Ends Feb 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the AFD be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.5% 39 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 2.8% 40 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.5% 33 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 2.7% 75 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 58% 51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 60% 51 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 97.8% 31 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 74.7% 42 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 87% 40 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 89% 40 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 3.1% 2 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No 95% 37 shares