Yes position
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $7.49
- Potential payout
- $272.41
- Potential profit
- $264.92
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
Polymarket Trader
0x153f64FcC332d69D7867C83c2Ecf706BCb83796c-1778847399705
0x153f64fcc332d69d7867c83c2ecf706bcb83796c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $34.46
- Realized PnL
- $16.59
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.33
- Potential payout
- $167.17
- Potential profit
- $166.84
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$11.67
No position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.73
- Potential profit
- $62.73
- User PnL
- -$25.2
Yes position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.86
- Potential profit
- $17.86
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $15.76
- Potential payout
- $16.85
- Potential profit
- $1.1
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $10.87
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.59
Yes position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.17
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 32% 6.25 shares
- Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes 3% 67.17 shares
- Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes 28% 17.86 shares
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 92.2% 30 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 35% 20 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 3.1% 100 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?No 2.3% 79.84 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?No 4% 25.21 shares
- Andy Burnham becomes an MP by June 30?Yes 47% 19.99 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 44% 22.73 shares
- Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?No 4.8% 105.05 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 86% 11.63 shares