No position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $47.89
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$1.28
Polymarket Trader
leiond
0x1540df65c12eccbe2bc43d0491478ee732d65204
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $144.97
- Realized PnL
- $6.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Larry Ellison buy the Seattle Seahawks?
Ends Sep 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $50.06
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.94
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Y
Yes position
Will the Republican Party win the VA-09 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.2%
- Current value
- $47.02
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $3.98
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $2.24
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Norway win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Ends Nov 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?
Ends Jan 25, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No 98.6% 31.51 shares
- Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?No 96.6% 20 shares